The extraordinary measures by the Federal Reserve System to keep
the U.S. economy afloat will be
extended to January 30 2009 and most likely will be needed
beyond that time period. This includes ongoing
lending to securities firms, not just banks, with a new $50
billion auction options program on top of the existing $200
billion treasury securities lending. The TAF loans to commercial
banks will also be offered in 84 day versions in addition to the
existing 28 day.
More loan swapping with European banks are planned too.
A choice quote from the linked story:
``The U.S. is pulling out all the stops here to make sure we
don't have a terrible downturn or a collapse in the financial
system,'' said
Allen Sinai, chief global economist at Decision Economics in
Boston. ``There isn't anything else the Federal Reserve can
do but to keep pumping liquidity into the system.''
Not to in anyway suggest that the current social structure in
America is fair to the working poor...
However, until scores of decades have passed where it is routine
that many millions those working poor, who have defaulted on
their debts, however unethical the terms of lending may be, or
for whom other false and trumped up charges have been levied
against, are being rounded up and being shipped like freight to
forced labour camps, where they routinely die from exposure, over
work, malnutrition, poisoning, and torture, as blacks routinely
were up until the 1930s, it is unjust and belittling the
historical and factual treatment of blacks in the United States
of America to make the comparison of chattel slavery and other
forms of forced labor of American blacks common in the South East
United States for over 150 years, to the wage slavery foisted off
on the uneducated poor in America today.
``The U.S. is pulling out all the stops here to make sure we
don't have a terrible downturn or a collapse in the financial
system before the upcoming elections,'' said Allen
Sinai, chief global economist at Decision Economics in Boston.
The whole system may be very broken indeed, here in the US.
Certainly.
Anyone who works anywhere near finance seems inordinately
powerful. We don't have a investment-transportation
system, roads for finance, we have a system of dead-end-making
trolls and narrow bridges. A line of trolls are waiting
want to make more narrow bridges. Usually one-way bridges.
However it is the Federal government budget priorities that have
caused the biggest leak. It is a vast amount of
non-investment, non-planned and impermanent waste of military
budgets, pork and unaccounted sub-sub- sub-contractor funds,
spent on imported goods and deposited in Cayman Island Banks,
that forms a parasite on the trusting taxpayer. Then the
folks with all that money complain that they have to pay taxes at
all. Most get by with 15%, and little of their deductions
guaranteed to invest in anything American and usefully productive
for voters.
I may be misidentifying the sentiment present. I don't
know.
It appears all the bizarre little pipe-dreams about the Fed and
other money supply management out there are false. Dreams
that near-zero-inflation and "hard-money" and
zero/low-taxation will make the world zoom in turbo-accelerated
prosperity-for-uber-alles. To me they're even
ridiculous.
Money does not spout out of fountains and gold does not pool in
gutters when it is hoarded according to a real-commodity pattern
of spread. Government meanies don't plug all the great
joyous spouts of wealth for their fun.
Hard-currency-money [the alternative to the Fed] simply stays
where it is already when it is scarce and not loaned. It is
often hoarded and can easily destroy markets far easier than
create them. All of us would not have home computers
because investment in the future would be one hundredth what it
is now. People wouldn't have bought. Products
wouldn't be developed.
Luxurious estates would have still been big and sprawling, as
usual, but the permanent investment in education and scientific
progress would have lagged. Nothing permanent would have been
gained because nothing need be risked (with population growth) to
have a reliably larger portion of the whole pie.
Commodities, like gold, do not stay available evenly over time
when they are stored in savings and appear again in free
spending. Supply fluctuates. A medium of exchange is only
supposed to be reliably able to keep at the same
"pressure" everywhere. Intervening with the
Fed's credit makes sense. Especially when institutions
shoot everyone downstream for their mistakes.
It makes little sense to criticize the existence of a huge
reservoir or two when the government is using a Howitzer to blow
holes in all the city plumbing.
It appears all the bizarre little pipe-dreams about the Fed
and other money supply management out there are
false. Dreams that near-zero-inflation and
"hard-money" and zero/low-taxation will make the world
zoom in turbo-accelerated prosperity-for-uber-alles.Â
To me they're even ridiculous.
As you bring up two different issues here...
First, the current system of inflationary policy devalues the
dollar thereby stealing the wealth of every single holder of the
currency for the benefit of the people who get the newly created
money which is almost always bankers and their allies in big
business. Then you have the phenomena of monetizing debt that the
government engages in that uses the exact same principle of
devaluation to tax the people.
Any way you look at it inflation redistributes the wealth from
one group to another.
With specie it is necessary for someone to go out and dig up
whatever commodity that serves as money which is productive as
opposed to simply adding a few numbers into an account. If money
is in short supply its value relative to other goods will rise
creating incentive for people to 'inflate the money
supply' and if there is an excess its value will fall and
mining operations will be unprofitable. It is a self regulating
system unlike the current Fed backed cartel where they produce
new money whenever they feel like it contrary to demand.
Secondly, inflationary policies that are geared at lowering the
interest rate below its 'natural' rate create boom-bust
cycles. Businesses that would be unprofitable at say 7% will be
profitable at an artificially low 5% while the underlying demand
of customers hasn't changed. Businesses that invest in this
fashion will find out soon enough that their investment decision
was faulty when the Fed starts raising rates to rein in the
inevitable price inflation.
As all this new money never enters the market evenly but gets
concentrated in certain sectors like tech stocks or mortgages
this has a tendency to drive prices way beyond what they would be
if there were no inflationary policy and create
'bubbles'.
Probably don't need to explain how that always turns out.
Now you also bring up taxes. They have a tendency of moving
capital from one sector which is profitable to another that
isn't either because they don't have that intent like
government programs or the leaders have political connections so
don't have to be because they can suck off the public teat
and almost always also get restrictions placed on any competing
business that would enter their particular market thereby
guaranteeing them a profit.
Or to put it a bit differently, taxes are the practical
application of the Broken Window Fallacy.
Hard-currency-money [the alternative to the Fed] simply stays
where it is already when it is scarce and not
loaned. It is often hoarded and can easily destroy
markets far easier than create them. All of us would
not have home computers because investment in the future would be
one hundredth what it is now. People wouldn't
have bought. Products wouldn't be developed.
The only way that would happen is if prices were 'sticky'
as the Keynesians claim.
Plus the fact that you are ignoring all of human history between
the invention of money and the 1930s when the governments of the
world decided that a commodity backed currency was a serious
impediment to their respective welfare/warfare states.
This also brings up an interesting fact, the computer industry is
one of the least regulated and is also one (if not the) most
dynamic in respect to scientific breakthroughs.
Commodities, like gold, do not stay available evenly over time
when they are stored in savings and appear again in free
spending.
Yes, as always, you lack the understanding that 'capital
investment' is a form of saving. Someone who buys a new
machine for their factory is saving just the same as someone who
buys a CD at their local bank. Saving is the act of forgoing
current consumption for future consumption.
Supply fluctuates. A medium of exchange is only supposed to be
reliably able to keep at the same "pressure"
everywhere.
Oh noes, banks would have to pay their customers more than a
token low interest rate to be able to borrow money to reloan it
instead of getting it almost free from the Fed with all the
problems that causes. Money as a good that follows the law of
supply and demand the same as every other good...The end
of civilization as we know it...
First, the current system of inflationary policy devalues
the dollar thereby stealing the wealth of every single holder
of the currency for the benefit of the people who get the newly
created money which is almost always bankers and their allies
in big business. Then you have the phenomena of monetizing debt
that the government engages in that uses the exact same
principle of devaluation to tax the people.
True. Savers of any vast amount of money (money in cash
form) will be lost in dilution of their currency. Assuredly
they will. All 1% of the population who have any
significant amount of dependency on pure cash instead of
daily/weekly labor will do very poorly over the period of time of
that inflation. OH woe. OH pity. OH loss.
OH wait... they likely have enough money to mint their own
anyway. Savings interest for a few is substituted for a
prosperous society with good wages. Almost all of history
is filled with times that < 5% have that sort of dependence on
stored currency.
Currency's main job is to get cooperative effort from buyer
to seller and back again by other routes. Not to reward
savers by sitting around. If we're fighting the
bankers... then we don't want investment in the first place.
Also, actually last I checked no bankers sit around fiddling with
their newly-fabricated money all day. They don't order
caviar or an don't (or didn't) thumb through the Sharper
Image catalog with all that money. They immediately loan it
if there are worthy borrowers. Approximately 10 times for
every dollar they have, they loan it out to make it do some
"good" and bring back interest. THEN they have
their caviar. (30 times for every dollar if
they're modern bankers)
There are deflationary spirals as well as inflationary
ones. If a depression or recession dose anything it is to
favor those with specie and savings they are sitting on, and by
that means, destroying the economy of those who must
rent their capitalassets [labor] or
starve. Much wealth is created
from deflation-spawned paranoia.
Controlling the money supply, with an edge toward expanding it,
is the only way to match an increasing labor force... a more
productive world of goods and services and to diminish the sheer
force of paranoia that can leave no market price where there were
markets functioning. When we're all done making more
people, making better things with fewer inputs, profiting from
any underused natural resources, then a stable money supply will
match the relative wealth that stably exists.
In all other cases, there's a natural
deflation and irrational risk-aversion
that society must endure.
Any way you look at it inflation redistributes the wealth
from one group to another.
Wealth always transfers. Live with it. From faceless
poor masses to select or lucky rich. Its not good.
Its not bad. Its the capital-tax burden we all live
with. It creates incentive and pays waste with
punishment. Government does it backwards, for a small
fraction of the economy, to increase people's willingness to
risk consuming and not stuff money in mattresses.
Any baby on the face of the earth at a moment's notice is
ready-born to have their life's efforts sucked out of them at
the lowest price possible unless they are invested in. Even
so, any generation in a family under strict capitalism is one
collapse away from no means to invest in their next
generation. Feel like consuming that flatscreen now?
Still don't believe me? Go live in Baghdad a few years
ago and delight in a pure capitalist economy.
Everything else is a hybrid.
The absolute fantasy is that saving truly increases net standard
of living other than in a civilized, already-wealthy
economy. Every-where, any-when else it is a tool to not
starve or be enslaved.
.... unlike the current Fed backed cartel where they
produce new money whenever they feel like it contrary to
demand.
Actually the Fed does it to negate the "hiding" or
slowing of currency flow. Investment in the future has a
horrible bias against it: its in the future and not here now.
When any currency is pooled and hidden, in any account-keeping
system, everyone who has a good head on their shoulders loses
their ability to try risks and future investment.
Specifically, if a segment of the non-currency economy grows
(labor, new homesteads in Kansas, Internet sales, etc.. ) and no
one will employ it or invest in its long-term rewards, then the
economy is deflating its profits and its future is never worth
investing in. Stabilizing the future of a validly
productive activity is all that Fed or any other large
currency-control is doing.
As for boom-bust cycles, they are bad. Don't get me
wrong but the natural unguided state of an economy is flattened
poverty with a spike of savers who survived the last flattening
by charging rent.
Yet, it would appear that other tactics are far stronger than a
too-low discount rate. Rumor-mongering, gambling funds
without risk, delusion-filled schemes of shadow banking a
shadow-currency. All those mixed with general gilded-age
"exuberance" leads to an legally-unaccountable finance
industry which does much worse to a currency. Also to all
who are involved below the top of the collapsing pyramid.
Limiting the number of cabbages everyone plays with on one level
is a caveman technique, compared to the games they were
playing.
They could have constructed currency out of patents on colors of
toilet paper backed by "Grade AAA Bond Ratings" and it
would have not been the Fed's fault. All anyone needs
for a currency is some original pooled wealth, trust in its
holder, and a need to invest it without the original's limits
of use.
One could easily accuse the booms of late to come from those in
authority who know the industry yet turn a blind eye, allowing
risk to be distanced from payment. So your
count-the-cabbages money supply would be replaced anyway by an
unstable modern one.
Lastly... lavish investment in the future is a good
idea. Far better than in most of history and in most
countries.
Again, by the way, wealth always flows around. Customer
demand is not always the same. The discount rate has an
inherent deflation in it just because demand never stays the same
and usually increases, along with the number of risk-based
investments. All of them fight for dollars to invest in
them.
Who'd be able to pay for an integrated circuit?
Why? Who'd risk personal electronics? Who'd
risk supply chains far from home?
Provably, taxes are a wonderful investment in the long term
future at times, though a horrible one when mismanaged.
Voters must keep watch. Taxes are very profitable indeed if
well placed, but the profit comes from taxing companies that are
unable to sell now. Stable educated societies and complex
layered varieties of entertainment and culture were not in demand
originally. Roads to drive/travel/ship on were not part of
production quotas. Telecom was not available to order with.
International Trade marketing plans were not available to link
efficiencies. Even Railroad fees were busted when their new
markets mattered more than their monopoly-maintained fees.
Government intervenes to make itself richer someday on wealth
that can't be taxed now.
Read "Supercapitalism." Its main conclusion is
that the 3-year investor is all that rules today. Markets
are so flexible and so profitable and investors so selfish that
nothing can withstand that greed-horizon. Not even futures
markets can help. Government, for good or ill, can do it if
it voters care about its future.
In the USA we do it because we agree the military needed it and
we spent lavishly to get it. Tax and spend... and some
investments paid off. (Most often it merely prevents social
chaos like Baghdad. Badly.)
So Government focuses on markets that emerge after a new area has
no burdens. The invisible hand is only a short-term and
low-risk hand, by the tragedy of the commons. All those
assets above created vast new sections of the economy and their
risk and scale was too much to comprehend.
Much less investment occurs if the constant deflation of the
currency leaves money in larger and larger concentrations
gathering dust.
Savers of any vast amount of money (money in cash form) will
be lost in dilution of their currency. Assuredly
they will. All 1% of the population who have any
significant amount of dependency on pure cash instead of
daily/weekly labor will do very poorly over the period of time of
that inflation. OH woe. OH
pity. OH loss.
I guess you missed the part where they talked about using
inflation to reduce real wages to fight price inflation during
your indoctrination. Also there is a vast amount of savers out
there that are hurt by inflation that are also workers, you have
a retirement fund don't you?
Your 1% comment is what I like to call the Scrooge McDuck
Fallacy, the assumption that the rich have a big pile of cash
sitting in their basement vault and rely on that for their income
instead of investing it into productive means.
Currency's main job is to get cooperative effort from
buyer to seller and back again by other routes. Not
to reward savers by sitting around. If we're
fighting the bankers... then we don't want investment in the
first place.
Like I said, you lack an understanding of capital and time in
economics.
Very few people 'save' by holding capital. They invest it
in some way that it will reward them for forgoing current
consumption, this can be interest, profit, return on investment,
whatever you want to call it. Without this saving there would be
no producer goods to mix with labor to turn into consumer goods
for money to do its 'main job...to get cooperative effort
from buyer to seller'.
You also don't really understand the mechanism behind
fractional reserve banking but that's not really important.
Wealth always transfers. Live with
it. From faceless poor masses to select or lucky
rich. Its not good. Its not
bad. Its the capital-tax burden we all live
with. It creates incentive and pays waste with
punishment.
WTF, capital tax burden?
Creating money doesn't magically create new wealth but only
creates a false claim on already existing wealth for the bank
that creates it. If anyone but the banking cartel does this it is
properly called counterfeiting which by all accounts is fraud and
theft from the people who they trade the new money with in
exchange for goods and services.
The absolute fantasy is that saving truly increases net
standard of living other than in a civilized, already-wealthy
economy. Every-where, any-when else it is a tool to
not starve or be enslaved.
So you deny that a person or group of people getting together to
invest in a tractor in some 3rd world country would increase
their standard of living due to the multiplication of their labor
the tractor would afford? If they immediately spent all their
income as they received it they would never better their lot in
life but would also have nothing to plant the next season because
they didn't hold back anything to be able to have seeds.
As for the rest of your comment, there's only so much time in
the day allocated to economic fallacy so it must remain
uncommented upon unfortunately.
Parasites Increasing Life Support Measures to the Host
The extraordinary measures by the Federal Reserve System to keep the U.S. economy afloat will be extended to January 30 2009 and most likely will be needed beyond that time period. This includes ongoing lending to securities firms, not just banks, with a new $50 billion auction options program on top of the existing $200 billion treasury securities lending. The TAF loans to commercial banks will also be offered in 84 day versions in addition to the existing 28 day.
More loan swapping with European banks are planned too.
A choice quote from the linked story:
``The U.S. is pulling out all the stops here to make sure we don't have a terrible downturn or a collapse in the financial system,'' said Allen Sinai, chief global economist at Decision Economics in Boston. ``There isn't anything else the Federal Reserve can do but to keep pumping liquidity into the system.''